The Coca-Cola 600 will get underway in 6 pm ET on Sunday on FOX, with Kyle Busch as the clear favorite (+250 betting odds).
Kevin Harvick (+600) and Martin Truex Jr. (+600) are not too far behind in what’s going to be the longest race of this year.
Nick Giffen utilizes his statistical model to disability that the four greatest futures betting values in the race.
For the second consecutive weekend, the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series will be racing at Charlotte Motor Speedwday (6:00 p.m. ET, FOX). However, this time instead of an All-Star shootout, drivers are in for a grueling 600 miles from the Cup Series’ longest race of this year.
Charlotte is a 1.5-mile oblong with a comparatively old surface that was repaved back in 2006. We saw in the All-Star race that tires failed to make a difference and that track position was also extremely significant, therefore this race ought to provide a great blend of multiple 1.5-mile tracks.
The most recent 1.5-mile points-paying race was also a night race at Kansas Speedwday. In that race, the top five in average green-flag rate all showed up at the top nine at 15-lap rate in Happy Hour, despite the race being during the nighttime and last practice throughout the day.
We have a similar situation at Charlotte this weekend, so I will surely rely on long-haul pace along with 1.5-mile performance this year and past Charlotte oval performance when handicapping the race.
Armed with all these data points, let’s get right to my four favorite bets to win tonight’s race, also bonus top-five and top-10 props.
A quick primer about the odds below: A $100 bet at +375 chances would gain $375, while a $200 bet at -200 chances would pay out $100.
Kevin Harvick +600 to Win
Kyle Busch is the favorite thanks to his outstanding rate in Happy Hour and three wins to Harvick’s zero wins this year. However, it might be claimed that Harvick should be a co-favorite despite completing only 13th on the 10-lap board in final practice.
That’s because in opening training, he had been much better relative to the remainder of the field over 10 consecutive laps. His fifth-place time throughout the warmer temperatures is encouraging. In fact, Harvick’s Crew Chief Rodney Childers said the cars are extremely sensitive to track changes, which they were really great in opening practice throughout the cooler temperatures.
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