View the MMABETMACHINE bets for UFC ESPN3 below:
Mike Perry Free Breakdown
Perry brings big power on the feet and a durable style to adopt brawls. He can be outmanoeuvred by specialized boxers but against the likes of Ponzinibbio, a top competitive striker for the division, he was very competitive. Perry is powerful in the clinch but his takedown defense remains unproven against a valid grappler. Cowboy could exploit the floor game as he has underrated wrestling, however, he tends to struggle with inconsistent gameplans. Getting sucked into brawls is a frequent issue and here against Perry that might be a significant mistake. He’s got big electricity himself but both men are quite hittable. On the toes it probably favours Perry, at least to the first half of the fight when he’s most dangerous. Look for a back and on war, together with the durability of Perry making the gap — as both guys absorb serious damage.Andrei Arlovski Breakdown
Arlovski is on a 3 battle losing streak but has been competitive in most fights going way back to his KO loss to Ngannou. At 40 years old that he brings a not as aggressive fashion nowadays that has lead to six consecutive decisions. His output seems to be slowing but his exact boxing style remains, allowing him to function behind a jab against slower competitions. Sakai is considerably younger so could be improving, but so far has failed to impress. He’s large and throws powerful yet slow singular strikes, with low volume. Primarily a boxer, Arlovski won’t need to worry about too many other weapons.
This is likely to be a gradual struggle using the more effective striker coming out on top. Start looking for Arlovski to avoid exchanges and poke Sakai from the exterior or use his wrestling to hold him against the fence. If he can avoid becoming caught a decision here is likely for the underdog.
Bet = Arlovski in 2.30 (+130) chances. Risk 3 Units to acquire 3.90 Units.
Virna Jandiroba Breakdown
Jandiroba is a serious BJJ blackbelt which makes her UFC debut with a 14-0 record. She has jiu-jitsu wins over both Claudia Gadelha and Amanda Nunes. Whilst restricted with striking, she’s constant with takedowns and has a wide array of methods to acquire fights to the floor. On top she is very solid, maintaining control and attacking subs. This is obviously a massive step up in competition from Invicta against Esparza, a real veteran. Carla is on a losing streak against fellow grapplers and has not shown great takedown shield to coincide with her wrestling abilities. She would be best to attempt to keep this battle standing where her improved striking ought to be able to edge out volume.
Jandiroba isn’t proven at this level but looks to be the real deal, displaying outstanding technique and composure. Worst case scenario Esparza can defend off her back and make scrambles to induce dramatic exchanges, taking us to a close choice. A better situation is Jandiroba dominating with her top control and procuring a unanimous decision or finding a entry. An Esparza finish is very unlikely. Given the odds and respective paths to success, a shot to the newcomer in even money is fantastic value.
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