Basketball and betting have more in common than you may think. In order to succeed at either pursuit, it helps to have an established system. In the case of basketball, obtaining a reliable offensive scheme that you’re able to roll out each game irrespective of the matchup gives you a leg-up. Believe Mike D’Antoni’s free-flowing space-and-pace attack or Jerry Sloan’s nearly unbeatable pick-and-roll crime from the 1980s and 90s.
If it comes to gambling, you can acquire the same type of benefit by having a tightly defined set of principles that it is possible to apply to every single game irrespective of who is on the court.
Fortunately, you do not need to produce your own betting strategy from scratch. There are already a few established strategies which you can try on for size once you lay down wagers on your favourite teams, and there is no rule against pilfering in the playbooks of those who came before you. We have included some of the most dependable systems and money-management approaches below, along with insights on the best way best to use them. When combined with an comprehension of the game, these systems might help turn rookie betters to all-stars.
The Top Totals System
Few strategies are easier to learn and apply in relation to the Top Totals System created by Allen Moody, a sports-betting professional and the author of Becoming a Winning Gambler and Sports Betting Basics. Moody found that sportsbooks frequently underestimate game totals for NBA non-conference games, and began taking the over on all games using an over/under of 220 total points. It’s a simple approach, but it paid off as he was correct 63.5percent of time for many games meeting that standards from 2004-05 to 2008-09.
Those sorts of games have been rarities a decade ago, but they are becoming more common today as groups push the pace and drain more three-pointers. Back in 2004-05, NBA teams scored a mean of 97.2 points each game. That number jumped to 100.0 in 2008-09 and rose all the way to 105.6 in 2016-17. Sportsbooks have become savvy for this tendency, but there is still worth to be found by taking the above in matches with especially high total-point projections.
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